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But you have to trust YC knows what they are doing, and the A+++ companies will be picked over before they hit second or third tier.

IMO, there is still too much luck involved to make this true to the extent it matters in this case. YC has picked several things that didn't pan out, and of course several that did. There have also been multiple follow ups from YC rejects that went on to be much more successful than some companies that WERE picked



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